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Race 6

PBD MCQUEENS TAVERN ( N/P) STAKE PR2 DIVISION2

2:07pm AEDT374y (342m)Other$735
Form Guide Selections
7
2
8
4
Race Overview

HERE COMES SHAKA (7) is a talented type and proved too classy last time to win by 1.5 lengths at Gawler in a handy 23.09 beating Cool It Miss. Well placed and can measure up. BUDGEREE (1) was safely held last time out, finishing eighth at Gawler over 437y behind Todd Keeping (23.54) in a Grade 4/5. The form out of last race has been strong. Warrants plenty of respect. SMOOTH PARADISE (2) showed little early speed at his last couple, the latest finishing fifth (20.79) in a Other at this track. Great chance to atone. RUSSO (5) has ability and can feature with the right run after missing a cheque here most recently.

AI Best Bet
Box 6 — Dame Truculent
Dame Truculent has shown consistent strong form at this track and distance, including a win two starts back and a narrow second last outing. The middle-to-wide draw suits her running style, and she possesses good early speed to challenge for the lead. With a strong trainer and proven performance, she looks well-placed to secure a win here.
Strong Recent FormProven Track/Distance FormSuitable Box Draw
85%
Confidence

AI Selections & Analysis (6 dogs)

1
Dame Truculent
Box 6 · · 5 To 2
LOW RISK
LIFE40: 5-9-5(13%W)
TRK25: 3-7-3(12%W)
DIST25: 3-7-3(12%W)
Trainer: Gary Pidgeon (Owen)L50: 3-18 6%-42% · L350: 32-110 9%-40%

Dame Truculent has shown consistent strong form at this track and distance, including a win two starts back and a narrow second last outing. The middle-to-wide draw suits her running style, and she possesses good early speed to challenge for the lead. With a strong trainer and proven performance, she looks well-placed to secure a win here.

Strong Recent FormProven Track/Distance FormSuitable Box Draw
Rating Breakdown
Box Draw
8
Track Form
8
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
9
Class
8
Trainer Form
6
Early Pace
8
Consistency
8
Form Guide Comment: Form has been strong, including a victory two starts back. Last time out finished 2nd over 374y at this track beaten 0.8 lengths (20.21) behind Sokai in a Other on March 31. Fair run last start but needs to improve further.
2
Here Comes Shaka
Box 5 · 3yo red/bdl M · 9 To 5
MEDIUM RISK
LIFE91: 8-11-17(9%W)
TRK21: 3-3-6(14%W)
DIST16: 3-2-5(19%W)
Trainer: Kevin Bewley (Lewiston)L50: 7-28 14%-70% · L350: 77-121 22%-57%

Here Comes Shaka is coming off a good win at Gawler and has solid track and distance form, albeit with a lower win percentage. While the wide draw can sometimes be tricky, his class and recent victory suggest he's in good order. He will need to begin well to overcome the outside runners but has the ability to contend.

Last Start WinnerClass EdgeTrainer Form
Rating Breakdown
Box Draw
7
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
8
Class
8
Trainer Form
9
Early Pace
7
Consistency
7
Form Guide Comment: Good performance to win by 1.5 lengths at Gawler over 437y (23.09) beating Cool It Miss in Other on March 29. Makes plenty of appeal. Go close again.
3
Smooth Paradise
Box 2 · 3yo bl M · 2 To 1
MEDIUM RISK
LIFE0: 0-0-0(0%W)
TRK0: 0-0-0(0%W)
DIST0: 0-0-0(0%W)
Trainer: Kevin Bewley (Lewiston)L50: 7-28 14%-70% · L350: 77-121 22%-57%

Smooth Paradise has a blank career record in the provided form, which is unusual for a 3yo. However, the analyst comment suggests recent runs (5th, 4th, 2nd, 1st, 5th) which are much better. If those results are accurate and recent, the inside draw is a big plus. The trainer's strong strike rate also adds confidence, but the lack of official career stats is a concern.

Favourable Box DrawTrainer FormPotential for Improvement
Rating Breakdown
Box Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
7
Class
6
Trainer Form
9
Early Pace
6
Consistency
6
1
Budgeree
Box 1 · 2yo bdl M · 81 To 1
LIFE59: 11-12-11(19%W)
TRK5: 1-2-1(20%W)
DIST5: 1-2-1(20%W)
Trainer: Tim Ieraci (Lewiston)L50: 8-18 16%-52% · L350: 54-113 15%-47%
Form Guide Comment: Didn't make the placings last time at Gawler (23.54) in a Grade 4/5, finishing a 17 length eighth. Goes very well from the draw boasting four victories and five places from 15 starts. Looks suited here and rates a leading chance.
3
Kota Lambai
Box 3 · 3yo bl F · 8 To 1
LIFE80: 14-13-20(18%W)
TRK61: 14-12-15(23%W)
DIST61: 14-12-15(23%W)
Trainer: Leanne Fagan (Calomba)L50: 6-20 12%-52% · L350: 47-122 13%-48%
Form Guide Comment: Was out of placings last time (20.25) at this track in a Other, finishing fifth and beaten 7 lengths. Has two wins and four placings from 11 starts from the draw. Tough line-up and may struggle.
4
Russo
Box 4 · 3yo fwn M · 7 To 1
LIFE0: 0-0-0(0%W)
TRK0: 0-0-0(0%W)
DIST0: 0-0-0(0%W)
Trainer: Paul Fagan (Calomba)L50: 4-13 8%-34% · L350: 50-111 14%-46%

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