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Race 11

PBD WE LOVE OUR DOGS ( N/P) STAKE PR2 DIVISION5

3:57pm AEDT374y (342m)Other$735
Form Guide Selections
2
8
5
4
Race Overview

WIRRULLA HARRY (2) showed little early speed at his last couple, the latest finishing fourth (23.85) in a Grade 6 at Gawler. Form here at the trip sound including eight wins. Strong form has emerged from his last run. Should be very hard to beat this time. ANTECEDENT (5) was drawn the middle last start but pinged the lids and recorded an all-the-way win (20.25) at this track in a Other over 374y. Capable of going well again. BONNIE DIVA (8) has been settling off the speed lately, finishing fifth (20.52) last time in a Other at this track. Has a good record at this journey. Worth following up. LOCKABA NITRO (4) has ability and finds the right scenario to bounce back.

AI Best Bet
Box 4 — Antecedent
Antecedent comes into this race in superb form, having won its last two starts at this track and distance, including an all-the-way victory. The middle draw is less of a concern given its demonstrated early pace, and the trainer's strong strike rate adds confidence. Its recent performances suggest it's peaking at the right time.
Recent winning formProven track and distance winnerStrong early paceIn-form trainer
85%
Confidence

AI Selections & Analysis (6 dogs)

1
Antecedent
Box 4 · 3yo w/bl F · 3 To 1
LOW RISK
LIFE0: 0-0-0(0%W)
TRK0: 0-0-0(0%W)
DIST0: 0-0-0(0%W)
Trainer: Abbey Fagan (Calomba)L50: 9-6 18%-30% · L350: 10-8 18%-32%

Antecedent comes into this race in superb form, having won its last two starts at this track and distance, including an all-the-way victory. The middle draw is less of a concern given its demonstrated early pace, and the trainer's strong strike rate adds confidence. Its recent performances suggest it's peaking at the right time.

Recent winning formProven track and distance winnerStrong early paceIn-form trainer
Rating Breakdown
Box Draw
7
Track Form
9
Distance Form
9
Recent Form
10
Class
8
Trainer Form
9
Early Pace
9
Consistency
8
2
Wirrulla Harry
Box 2 · · 2 To 1
MEDIUM RISK
LIFE0: 0-0-0(0%W)
TRK0: 0-0-0(0%W)
DIST0: 0-0-0(0%W)
Trainer: Kevin Bewley (Lewiston)L50: 7-28 14%-70% · L350: 77-121 22%-57%

Despite a lack of detailed form data in the provided information, the form guide's strong endorsement and the trainer's excellent strike rate are significant. The comment 'Strong form has emerged from his last run' suggests a hidden upside not immediately apparent in the provided raw data. If he finds early speed, he could be a major player.

Trainer's exceptional formForm guide's strong endorsementInside draw advantagePotential for improvement
Rating Breakdown
Box Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class
7
Trainer Form
10
Early Pace
7
Consistency
6
3
Bonnie Diva
Box 6 · 2yo wh/bdl F · 2 To 1
MEDIUM RISK
LIFE46: 6-6-10(13%W)
TRK34: 3-5-8(9%W)
DIST34: 3-5-8(9%W)
Trainer: Desmond Hockley (Lewiston)L50: 5-18 10%-46% · L350: 34-129 10%-47%

Bonnie Diva has a solid overall career record and has shown glimpses of form at this track and distance, despite recent unplaced runs. The wide box draw is generally favourable for this type of runner, allowing clear air. With a good jump, she has the ability to challenge the leaders.

Good overall career recordFavourable wide drawCapable at track and distanceCan improve on recent runs
Rating Breakdown
Box Draw
8
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
5
Class
7
Trainer Form
7
Early Pace
6
Consistency
7
Form Guide Comment: Was out of placings last time (20.52) at this track in a Other, finishing fifth and beaten 8 lengths. Goes very well from the draw boasting three victories and four places from 12 starts. Can feature in the finish.
4
Lockaba Nitro
Box 3 · 3yo bl M · 9 To 2
MEDIUM RISK
LIFE58: 7-5-10(12%W)
TRK36: 5-3-5(14%W)
DIST36: 5-3-5(14%W)
Trainer: Wendy Sebastyan (Callington)L50: 6-10 12%-32% · L350: 44-102 13%-42%

Lockaba Nitro has shown glimpses of ability, including a recent minor placing at this track and distance. While recent form is inconsistent, a good start from box 3 could see her in a prominent position. The trainer's form is reasonable, suggesting the dog is prepared.

Recent minor placingDecent track and distance recordTrainer's consistent strike rate
Rating Breakdown
Box Draw
6
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
5
Class
6
Trainer Form
7
Early Pace
6
Consistency
6
Form Guide Comment: Was out of the placings last time but the start prior finished in the minors when third (20.28) over 374y at this track. Awkwardly drawn but can measure up.
5
Slipper's Appeal
Box 1 · 4yo bl F · 6 To 1
HIGH RISK
LIFE59: 8-6-3(14%W)
TRK53: 6-6-2(11%W)
DIST50: 6-6-2(12%W)
Trainer: Barry Jones (Mclaren Vale)L50: 2-12 4%-28% · L350: 25-93 7%-34%

Slipper's Appeal has a high number of career starts but a low win percentage, particularly in recent times. While the inside box can be an advantage, her recent form suggests she's struggling to compete at this level. The analyst comment also indicates she's 'tested under these conditions'.

Poor recent formLow win percentageStruggling to compete
Rating Breakdown
Box Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
3
Class
4
Trainer Form
4
Early Pace
4
Consistency
4
Form Guide Comment: Has not shown much in recent runs. Could only manage sixth last time out over 374y at this track. Tested under these conditions.
6
Searing Lass
Box 5 · 5yo blu F · 34 To 1
HIGH RISK
LIFE69: 5-9-5(7%W)
TRK27: 2-4-0(7%W)
DIST27: 2-4-0(7%W)
Trainer: Gary Pidgeon (Owen)L50: 3-18 6%-42% · L350: 32-110 9%-40%

Searing Lass is an older dog with a very low win percentage and poor recent form, consistently finishing out of the placings. The wide box draw offers little advantage given her current performance levels. She appears to be well past her best and is unlikely to feature.

Poor recent formLow win percentageOlder dog, declining performance
Rating Breakdown
Box Draw
5
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class
3
Trainer Form
5
Early Pace
3
Consistency
3
Form Guide Comment: Has been out of the money of late. Could only manage fourth last time out over 374y at this track. Happy enough to avoid.

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