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Race 2Open Hurdle

HAMMONDS PAINTS OPEN HURDLE ($24K)

TBA AEDT3219m24,0008 runners
AI Best Bet
#1 Point NepeanJ: Tom Ryan
Point Nepean stands out with the highest prizemoney and an impressive win/place percentage from fewer starts, indicating significant talent. Under Shane Jackson, who has multiple runners, and with Tom Ryan aboard, this horse is clearly the one to beat. His class and potential make him the top pick in this field.
Highest career prizemoneyExcellent win/place strike rateTop jumps trainer/jockey comboInside barrier
Each-Way Value: Sing For Peace
85%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Open Hurdle race over 3219m features a small but competitive field, with several runners coming from strong jumps stables. Shane Jackson has a significant presence with four runners, including the highly-rated Point Nepean, while Patrick Payne's Sing For Peace also looks a strong contender. The race will likely be a test of stamina and jumping prowess, with recent form and class proving crucial.

AI Selections & Analysis (8 runners)

1
Point Nepean
Barrier 1 · 151kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER18:5-3
Jockey:Tom Ryan
Trainer:Shane Jackson

Point Nepean stands out with the highest prizemoney and an impressive win/place percentage from fewer starts, indicating significant talent. Under Shane Jackson, who has multiple runners, and with Tom Ryan aboard, this horse is clearly the one to beat. His class and potential make him the top pick in this field.

Highest career prizemoneyExcellent win/place strike rateTop jumps trainer/jockey comboInside barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
8
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
9
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
2
Zweig
Barrier 4 · 143kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER9:3-1
Jockey:Braidon Small
Trainer:Shane Jackson

Zweig boasts the highest career win percentage in the field from a small number of starts, indicating significant ability. Also from the Shane Jackson stable, he's clearly a horse with upside in the jumps. While Braidon Small is not as established as some other jumps jockeys, Zweig's raw talent makes him a strong winning chance.

Highest career win percentageShane Jackson stableUntapped potentialGood barrier draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
3
Sing For Peace
Barrier 2 · 153kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER29:6-6
Jockey:Will Gordon
Trainer:Patrick Payne

From the astute Patrick Payne stable, Sing For Peace boasts a strong career record and a high place percentage. This stable excels with jumpers, suggesting this horse will be well-prepared for the task. With Will Gordon in the saddle, he represents excellent each-way value and is a serious threat to the favourites.

Patrick Payne stableStrong career place rateExperienced jumps jockeyGood barrier draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
4
Fabalot
Barrier 7 · 164kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER42:9-7
Jockey:Tom Ryan
Trainer:Shane Jackson

Fabalot brings solid career stats to the table and has a good win rate for an open hurdler. While his specific hurdle form is unknown from the provided data, his overall career suggests he has the class and experience to be competitive here, especially under Tom Ryan. He's a consistent performer who should be in the mix.

Solid career strike rateExperienced jockeyConsistent performer
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
5
Initial Moment
Barrier 3 · 143kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER12:2-3
Jockey:Jordan Hart
Trainer:Shane Jackson

Initial Moment has a decent place percentage from a limited number of starts, suggesting some untapped potential. From the strong Shane Jackson stable, this horse could be an improver in the jumps ranks. While not a top contender, he could surprise and is a good each-way chance if he handles the distance and jumps well.

Good place percentageShane Jackson stablePotential improverInside barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
6
Stockman
Barrier 8 · 146kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER70:10-8
Jockey:Steven Pateman
Trainer:Symon Wilde

Stockman has a high number of career starts but a lower win and place percentage compared to some rivals, and no prizemoney listed suggests this is his first jumps start. While Symon Wilde is a good jumps trainer, the lack of specific jumps form makes him a speculative runner. He's a roughie based on the available data.

High number of career startsFirst jumps start (assumed)Lower win/place rateWide barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
4
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
7
Raise The Note
Barrier 6 · 143kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER22:2-1
Jockey:Jordan Hart
Trainer:Shane Jackson

With the lowest win and place percentage in the field, Raise The Note appears to be outclassed by several rivals here. While from a strong stable, his career record doesn't inspire confidence for an open hurdle race. He's an outsider who would need significant improvement to feature.

Lowest career win rateLowest career place rateStepping up in classUnproven at this level
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
5
8
Cherokee Brave
Barrier 5 · 143kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER27:1-3
Jockey:Martin Kelly
Trainer:Eric Musgrove

Cherokee Brave has a very low career win and place percentage, making him one of the least appealing runners in this field. Despite being from an experienced jumps trainer, his overall record suggests he'll struggle to compete against higher-class opposition. He's a definite outsider.

Very low career win ratePoor career place rateOutclassed by rivalsLack of recent form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
4

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