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Race 6Handicap

RICHMOND CLUB HANDICAP ($41K)

TBA AEDT1509m41,00013 runners
AI Best Bet
#7 Shangri La ImpactJ: Zac Lloyd
With an impressive 50% win rate and 83% place rate from just six starts, this horse is clearly progressive and has a strong winning profile. The booking of Zac Lloyd, a top apprentice, suggests the stable is confident in its chances, making it the one to beat.
High win/place strike rateProgressive formGood barrier drawIn-form jockey
Each-Way Value: Night Agent
88%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Richmond Club Handicap over 1509m is a competitive affair with several promising runners, many of whom are lightly raced or coming off good recent form. The presence of multiple stable runners from Chris Waller and Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott adds an interesting dynamic, often indicating strong stable confidence. Barrier draws and jockey bookings will play a crucial role in the outcome.

AI Selections & Analysis (13 runners)

1
Shangri La Impact
Barrier 7 · 126kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER6:3-2
Jockey:Zac Lloyd
Trainer:Tom Charlton

With an impressive 50% win rate and 83% place rate from just six starts, this horse is clearly progressive and has a strong winning profile. The booking of Zac Lloyd, a top apprentice, suggests the stable is confident in its chances, making it the one to beat.

High win/place strike rateProgressive formGood barrier drawIn-form jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
7
Distance Form
9
Recent Form
9
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
2
Chokuto
Barrier 10 · 125kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER5:1-2
Jockey:James McDonald
Trainer:Chris Waller

From the formidable Chris Waller yard and with James McDonald aboard, this horse has a strong foundation with a 20% win and 60% place rate from limited starts. The combination of trainer and jockey is a significant advantage, suggesting it's ready to perform strongly.

Waller/McDonald combinationGood place strike rateProgressive profileStrong stable form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
10
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
3
Bubbles Up
Barrier 4 · 120kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER2:1-0
Jockey:Tim Clark
Trainer:Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

A lightly raced runner from the Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott stable with a 50% win rate from only two starts. The booking of Tim Clark, known for his front-running tactics, is a strong indicator of intent and suggests this horse will be prominent throughout.

Promising lightly racedWaterhouse/Bott stableTim Clark aboardStrong win rate
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
4
Night Agent
Barrier 2 · 123kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER4:2-0
Jockey:Tom Sherry
Trainer:Kris Lees

Another promising type with a 50% win rate from four starts, this Kris Lees-trained gelding has shown good ability. Drawing barrier 2 is a significant advantage, allowing for a economical run and a strong finish.

High win rateFavourable barrier 2Kris Lees stableLightly raced with upside
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
5
Autumn Dream
Barrier 8 · 129kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER11:3-1
Jockey:Kerrin Mcevoy
Trainer:Annabel & Rob Archibald

This mare boasts a 27% win rate and 36% place rate, indicating consistency, and comes from a strong stable with Kerrin McEvoy in the saddle. While not as dominant as some, her overall record and jockey engagement make her a solid contender.

Consistent formKerrin McEvoy bookingStrong stableSolid career record
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
6
Crossbow
Barrier 12 · 134kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER9:2-3
Jockey:Siena Grima
Trainer:Chris Waller

From the Chris Waller stable, Crossbow has a decent 22% win rate and 56% place rate from nine starts. Despite a wide barrier, the trainer's expertise and the horse's consistent placing record suggest it can overcome the draw with a good run.

Solid place strike rateChris Waller trainedGood career prizemoneyCan handle wide draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
6
7
Stealthfire
Barrier 3 · 125kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER4:1-0
Jockey:Sam Clipperton
Trainer:Chris Waller

Another Chris Waller runner, Stealthfire is lightly raced with a 25% win rate from four starts, showing potential. Sam Clipperton is a capable jockey, and with the Waller polish, improvement is expected, making it an interesting prospect.

Waller stableLightly raced with upsideSam Clipperton aboardPotential for improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
6
8
Strawberry Impact
Barrier 9 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER13:1-7
Jockey:Tommy Berry
Trainer:Blake Ryan

While only a single win from 13 starts, its 62% place rate is highly encouraging, indicating a horse that is consistently competitive. With Tommy Berry in the saddle, it could be an excellent each-way bet, often finding the frame.

High place strike rateTommy Berry aboardConsistent performerGood prizemoney earner
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
9
Sacrify
Barrier 6 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER16:3-2
Jockey:Mollie Fitzgerald
Trainer:Annabel & Rob Archibald

With a 19% win rate and 31% place rate from 16 starts, Sacrify has a fair record but might lack the sharp turn of foot of some rivals. The stable is in good form, but it will need to lift to be competitive against some progressive types here.

Consistent stableExperienced runnerDecent career prizemoneyGood barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
10
War Ribbon
Barrier 1 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER18:2-4
Jockey:Keagan Latham
Trainer:David Payne

An experienced runner with an 11% win rate and 33% place rate, War Ribbon has a solid but not spectacular record. While drawing barrier 1 is a plus, it may find some of the younger, more progressive horses too strong in the finish.

Favourable barrier 1Experienced runnerDavid Payne stableGood career prizemoney
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
11
Bella Khadijah
Barrier 5 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER16:2-1
Jockey:Jason Collett
Trainer:Brad Widdup

Bella Khadijah has a 13% win rate and 19% place rate from 16 starts, which is below average for this field. While Jason Collett is a strong jockey, the horse's overall form suggests it might be tested against the quality of opposition here.

Jason Collett aboardGood barrier drawConsistent stableNeeds to improve
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
5
12
Superfabulistic
Barrier 11 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER3:1-0
Jockey:Rachel King
Trainer:Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

From the Waterhouse & Bott stable, this horse has a 33% win rate from three starts, but its overall place rate is lower than some rivals. The wide barrier draw makes its task significantly harder, requiring a strong performance to overcome it.

Waterhouse/Bott trainedLightly racedWide barrier 11Needs to show more
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
5
13
Reflect
Barrier 11 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER10:1-0
Jockey:Chad Schofield
Trainer:Joseph Pride

Reflect has only a 10% win rate and 10% place rate from 10 starts, indicating it struggles to find the placings. Drawing barrier 11 further complicates its chances in a competitive race, making it a tough assignment here.

Poor place strike rateWide barrier 11Needs significant improvementLacks winning form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
5

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