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Race 6Handicap

SWAN DRAUGHT HANDICAP ($16K)

TBA AEDT1609m16,00011 runners
AI Best Bet
#6 Simply RossoJ: Bailey Webster
Simply Rosso boasts the highest career win percentage in the field, indicating a good strike rate when he finds his form. Despite the lack of specific recent data, his overall record suggests he's a class above many of these, making him a strong contender in this low-grade handicap.
Highest career win percentageSolid career recordFavourable barrier draw
Each-Way Value: Cantilever
78%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This is a low-grade handicap over the mile, with many runners showing inconsistent form or limited career success. The lack of specific track/distance/recent form data for individual horses makes this a challenging race to assess, relying heavily on career statistics and general jockey/trainer form. Expect a competitive but not necessarily high-quality contest, with a few runners potentially finding their best form on the day.

AI Selections & Analysis (11 runners)

1
Simply Rosso
Barrier 6 · 133kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER32:6-2
Jockey:Bailey Webster
Trainer:Kevin Mahoney

Simply Rosso boasts the highest career win percentage in the field, indicating a good strike rate when he finds his form. Despite the lack of specific recent data, his overall record suggests he's a class above many of these, making him a strong contender in this low-grade handicap.

Highest career win percentageSolid career recordFavourable barrier draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
2
Keytrade
Barrier 4 · 132kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER52:6-3
Jockey:Rocky Cheung
Trainer:Ken Nightingale

Keytrade has a decent career record and has amassed significant prize money, suggesting ability at this level. The inside barrier is a plus, and with a solid jockey engagement, this horse could be ready to perform well in a race lacking standout talent.

Good career prize moneyInside barrier drawExperienced jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
3
Cantilever
Barrier 2 · 128kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER19:3-4
Jockey:Ava Catarino
Trainer:Julia Martin

Cantilever has a good place percentage relative to his career starts, indicating consistency even if wins are harder to come by. The inside draw is a significant advantage, and with a relatively light career, there might be more upside here than for some of the more seasoned veterans.

Good place strike rateInside barrier (2)Less exposed than rivals
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
4
Where's My Lunch
Barrier 1 · 128kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER32:4-2
Jockey:Natika Riordan
Trainer:Cammeron Ellery

Drawing the coveted rail position, Where's My Lunch has a tactical advantage from the start. While career stats are modest, a good run from the inside could see this horse outrun its odds in a field where many are struggling for form.

Ideal barrier 1Experienced jockeyCould improve with clear run
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
10
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
5
Patchwork
Barrier 9 · 127kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER52:8-6
Jockey:Jefferson Tsang
Trainer:Willie Parker

Patchwork has the most career wins in the field, which is a strong indicator of ability at this level. Despite a higher barrier, the sheer number of wins suggests this horse knows how to get the job done when everything aligns, making him a definite each-way chance.

Most career winsProven abilityExperienced jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
6
Bentley Beau
Barrier 11 · 123kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER49:5-13
Jockey:Madi Derrick
Trainer:Kylie Craig

Bentley Beau has a high place percentage, suggesting consistency in hitting the board, but wins are harder to come by. The wide barrier is a concern over the mile, but if the pace is hot, this horse could be running on for a minor placing.

High place percentageCould run on lateExperienced jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
7
Alterno
Barrier 8 · 120kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER67:5-7
Jockey:Troy Turner
Trainer:Andrew Voigt

Alterno has a very extensive career but a low win and place strike rate, suggesting this horse is often outclassed. While the barrier is acceptable, it would take a significant improvement in form to be truly competitive against this field.

Extensive career experienceLow win/place percentageNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
8
Karlstad
Barrier 5 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER52:4-3
Jockey:Keshaw Dhurun
Trainer:Gerard Anthony

Karlstad has accumulated good prize money but has a low win and place strike rate, indicating a horse that struggles to convert. The barrier is neutral, but the overall career statistics suggest this horse is more likely to be a minor player.

Good career prize moneyLow win/place rateNeeds to find best form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
9
Mexican Queen
Barrier 7 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER20:2-1
Jockey:Tash Faithfull
Trainer:Peter J Daly

Mexican Queen has limited career starts and a low place percentage, suggesting inconsistency. While the barrier is acceptable, this horse would need to show significant improvement to be a factor in this race.

Limited career startsInconsistent formNeeds to step up
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
6
10
Spirit Of Luna
Barrier 3 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER10:1-0
Jockey:Tiana Murray
Trainer:Ken Nightingale

Spirit Of Luna is lightly raced with only one win from 10 starts and no placings, making this horse a significant unknown. While the inside barrier is a positive, the lack of a proven record at this level suggests this will be a tough ask.

Lightly racedLow career strike rateUnproven at this level
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
7
11
Mooniemia
Barrier 10 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER35:1-1
Jockey:Amy Jo Hayes
Trainer:Glen Cortes

Mooniemia has the lowest win and place percentages in the field, indicating a significant struggle for form and ability. The wide barrier further complicates matters, making it highly unlikely this horse will be competitive in this race.

Lowest career strike rateWide barrier drawSignificant form concerns
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
2
Distance Form
2
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
2
Jockey Form
2
Trainer Form
2
Weight Handicap
4

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