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Race 3Class 1 Handicap

LADBROKES OWNERS PROMOTION CLASS 1 HANDICAP ($18K)

TBA AEDT1207m18,0007 runners
AI Best Bet
#6 Live On LoveJ: David Pires
Live On Love is the standout here, having won impressively on debut and showing immediate class. Despite the small sample size, the high win percentage and the engagement of a top jockey suggest this horse has significant upside and is well-placed to secure another victory in this field.
Impressive debut winnerHigh win percentage (50%)Top jockey engagementUntapped potential
Each-Way Value: Moonglow Miss
85%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Class 1 Handicap over 1207m presents a competitive field with several horses looking to build on recent form or break through for a second career win. The short distance and Class 1 conditions suggest a race where early speed and a good barrier draw will be crucial, and some runners will be looking to shed their maiden status or add to a single career victory.

AI Selections & Analysis (7 runners)

1
Live On Love
Barrier 6 · 129kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER2:1-0
Jockey:David Pires
Trainer:Jessie Bazan

Live On Love is the standout here, having won impressively on debut and showing immediate class. Despite the small sample size, the high win percentage and the engagement of a top jockey suggest this horse has significant upside and is well-placed to secure another victory in this field.

Impressive debut winnerHigh win percentage (50%)Top jockey engagementUntapped potential
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
8
Distance Form
9
Recent Form
9
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
8
2
Moonglow Miss
Barrier 7 · 119kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER22:2-3
Jockey:Codi Jordan
Trainer:Glenn Stevenson

Moonglow Miss boasts the most wins in the field and has shown ability at this level, making her a strong contender. While her overall place percentage isn't outstanding, her two career wins demonstrate she knows how to get the job done when conditions suit, making her a good each-way prospect.

Most wins in the field (2)Proven at Class 1 levelExperienced jockeySolid trainer
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
3
Crystal Moonbeam
Barrier 1 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER8:1-1
Jockey:Georgie Catania
Trainer:Rhonda Hall

Crystal Moonbeam has a win to her name and draws the coveted rail barrier, which could be a significant advantage over this distance. Her overall record is modest, but the inside draw and a capable jockey give her a strong chance to improve on her place percentage and be competitive.

Inside barrier (1)Has a career winCapable jockeyGood for track position
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
4
Creek Lodge
Barrier 5 · 126kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER10:1-2
Jockey:Lizzie Annells
Trainer:Paul Edwin Jones

Creek Lodge has a single win from ten starts and has shown glimpses of ability, but consistency is a question mark. With a reasonable barrier and a jockey who can get the best out of horses, this runner could be in the mix if everything goes right, but will need to lift.

Mid-range barrierHas a career winExperienced jockeyNeeds to find best form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
5
Lady Fern
Barrier 4 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER24:1-3
Jockey:Lauryn Bingley
Trainer:John Blacker

Lady Fern has struggled to find the winner's circle, with only one win from 24 starts, which is a concern for a Class 1 race. While she has accumulated some prize money, her low win and place percentages suggest she will need a significant turnaround to be a factor here.

Low win percentagePoor place recordMany starts for one winNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
6
Master Of Mischief
Barrier 3 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER25:1-1
Jockey:Lauren Burke
Trainer:John Luttrell

Master Of Mischief has a very low win and place strike rate from a large number of starts, indicating a lack of competitive edge. While the barrier is decent, this horse appears to be outclassed in this field and would need a career-best performance to contend.

Very low win ratePoor place recordStruggles to finish strongOutclassed on paper
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
4
7
Super Snippy
Barrier 2 · 123kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER27:1-4
Jockey:Erica Byrne Burke
Trainer:Mark Ganderton

Super Snippy has the lowest win percentage in the field from a significant number of starts, which is a major red flag for a Class 1 race. Despite drawing a good barrier, the historical performance suggests this horse will struggle to be competitive against this calibre of opposition.

Extremely low win percentagePoor place recordStruggles to break throughNeeds a miracle
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
2
Distance Form
2
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
2
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
3

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