Race 2Maiden Plate

ADAMS TOWING & TRANSPORT MAIDEN PLATE ($13K)

TBA AEDT1358m13,00011 runners

AI Best Bet

#2 It's A Solid DeelJ: Murray Henderson

Despite a long career without a win, It's A Solid Deel has the best place strike rate in the field and has shown glimpses of ability. The inside barrier is a significant advantage, and with a top jockey, this could finally be their day in a weak maiden.

Best place strike rate in fieldInside barrier advantageExperienced jockeyConsistent trainer

Each-Way Value: Macspark

78%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This Maiden Plate over 1358m presents a challenging puzzle with many runners yet to place, let alone win. The race is likely to be decided by which horse has shown the most improvement or has the best fitness edge, with those having recent starts or better career place percentages holding a slight advantage. Given the overall lack of form, it's a race where value might be found with horses showing minor glimmers of improvement or those from astute stables.

AI Selections & Analysis (11 runners)

It's A Solid Deel

Barrier 2 · 128kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER18:0-2

Jockey:Murray Henderson

Trainer:Brian Lear

Best place strike rate in fieldInside barrier advantageExperienced jockeyConsistent trainer

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Macspark

Barrier 5 · 128kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER10:0-1

Jockey:Shuichi Terachi

Trainer:Jason Allen

Macspark has a better place record than most of the field and comes from a stable that can get them ready. The middle barrier draw is favourable, and with some slight improvement, he could be right in the finish against this calibre of opposition.

Better career place recordFavourable barrierStable can improve horsesLightly raced compared to some

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Merchant Of Greece

Barrier 3 · 128kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER17:0-1

Jockey:Andrew Stead

Trainer:Danny Penna

Another with a long career and limited success, Merchant Of Greece has shown one placing which puts him ahead of many here. The inside draw is a plus, and if he can find his best form, he's a definite each-way chance in this weak maiden.

Inside barrierSome career placingExperienced jockeyConsistent trainer

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Nouveau Marche

Barrier 1 · 128kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER29:0-1

Jockey:Jemma Gutte

Trainer:Jason Allen

With 29 starts and only one placing, Nouveau Marche is a veteran maiden. However, the inside barrier is a huge asset, and if the pace is right, he might just sneak into the placings with a clean run along the rails.

Excellent inside barrierMassive experienceStablemate to MacsparkHas placed before

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Toast For Becky

Barrier 4 · 123kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER8:0-0

Jockey:Wesley Cave

Trainer:Sharyn Ratsch

Toast For Becky has shown very little in 8 starts, but the barrier draw is decent, and in a race devoid of strong form, any improvement could see her competitive for a minor placing. Keep an eye on any market support.

Decent barrier drawLightly raced compared to someCan improve in weak race

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Love To Lie

Barrier 9 · 121kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER3:0-0

Jockey:Isaac Sit

Trainer:Travis Doudle

Love To Lie is lightly raced and comes from a capable stable, which offers some hope for improvement. While the wide barrier is a challenge, with only three starts, there's still scope for a significant jump in performance.

Lightly racedCapable trainerScope for improvement

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Genre

Barrier 8 · 128kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER4:0-0

Jockey:Tala Hutchinson

Trainer:Larry McMahon

Genre has had four starts without showing much, but the trainer can occasionally pull a rabbit out of the hat. A middle barrier draw is acceptable, but significant improvement is needed to feature here.

Middle barrierTrainer capable of upsetsLightly raced

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Johnny The Jet

Barrier 6 · 126kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER5:0-0

Jockey:Alyssa Webb

Trainer:Larry McMahon

Johnny The Jet has similar form to stablemate Genre, having shown nothing in five starts. The barrier is fair, but he needs to find several lengths to be competitive, making him a longshot.

Fair barrierStablemate to GenreNeeds significant improvement

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Qatar

Barrier 10 · 126kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER7:0-0

Jockey:Matthew Chadwick

Trainer:Chris Bieg

Qatar has been unplaced in all 7 starts and draws the widest barrier, which will make his task even harder. While the trainer is capable, the wide draw and lack of form make him a very tough ask here.

Widest barrierNo career placingsNeeds to improve sharply

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Barbie's Pearl

Barrier 7 · 123kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER15:0-0

Jockey:Sairyn Fawke

Trainer:Trent & Laura Allen

Barbie's Pearl has had 15 starts without a placing, indicating a significant lack of ability. While the barrier is acceptable, it's hard to make a case for her against even this modest field.

No career placingsExtensive career without successNeeds a miracle

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Spicy Ambition

Barrier 11 · 123kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER0:0-0

Jockey:Caitlyn Munro

Trainer:Darren & Aimee Magro

As a first-starter, Spicy Ambition is a complete unknown, which is a huge disadvantage in a race where some form is available. The widest barrier draw further complicates her debut, making her a speculative outsider.

First-starterWidest barrierComplete unknown

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