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Race 3Handicap

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TBA AEDT1106m16,0008 runners
AI Best Bet
#4 Lavish CharmJ: Lucy Fiore
Lavish Charm is the standout based on career win and place percentages, indicating a horse with significant talent and consistency. The barrier draw of 4 is favourable, and with Lucy Fiore aboard, this combination looks very hard to beat in this class of race.
Highest career win %Excellent place recordFavourable barrier (4)Strong trainer/jockey combo
Each-Way Value: Sunshine Tafe
85%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This 1106m handicap presents a competitive field with several horses capable of performing well. Lavish Charm stands out as a strong contender given its impressive career strike rate, while The Showvinist also brings solid credentials. The race conditions suggest a fair contest where form and barrier draw will be crucial.

AI Selections & Analysis (8 runners)

1
Lavish Charm
Barrier 4 · 130kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER9:3-2
Jockey:Lucy Fiore
Trainer:Peter Fernie

Lavish Charm is the standout based on career win and place percentages, indicating a horse with significant talent and consistency. The barrier draw of 4 is favourable, and with Lucy Fiore aboard, this combination looks very hard to beat in this class of race.

Highest career win %Excellent place recordFavourable barrier (4)Strong trainer/jockey combo
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
8
Distance Form
9
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
2
The Showvinist
Barrier 1 · 133kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER18:4-3
Jockey:Zephen Johnston-Porter
Trainer:Helen Harding

The Showvinist boasts a strong career win percentage and has drawn the coveted inside barrier, which is a significant advantage over this distance. While specific recent form isn't provided, the overall career statistics suggest a high-quality runner who should be competitive in this field.

Strong career win rateInside barrier (1)Experienced jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
2
The Lions' Gate
Barrier 6 · 123kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER34:3-7
Jockey:Keshaw Dhurun
Trainer:Nev Newton

The Showvinist boasts a strong career win percentage and has drawn the coveted inside barrier, which is a significant advantage over this distance. While specific recent form isn't provided, the overall career statistics suggest a high-quality runner who should be competitive in this field.

Strong career win rateInside barrier (1)Experienced jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
3
Sunshine Tafe
Barrier 3 · 122kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER17:3-3
Jockey:Tash Faithfull
Trainer:Peter Fernie

Sunshine Tafe has a decent career win and place percentage and comes from a strong stable. Barrier 3 is ideal for this distance, and with Tash Faithfull in the saddle, this horse could certainly be in the mix for an each-way finish, offering good value.

Good career place %Excellent barrier (3)Strong trainerEach-way potential
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
5
Favaios
Barrier 8 · 122kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER23:3-3
Jockey:Brayden Gaerth
Trainer:Helen Harding

Favaios has a modest career record and draws the widest barrier, which is a significant disadvantage over 1106m. While from a reputable stable, the wide draw and average career statistics make this horse a roughie in this field.

Wide barrier (8)Modest career strike rateNeeds luck from the draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
5
6
Sabino
Barrier 5 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER63:4-6
Jockey:Holly Nottle
Trainer:Paul Tapper

Sabino has a high number of starts but a very low win and place percentage, suggesting it struggles to break through for a win. While barrier 5 is acceptable, the overall career statistics indicate this horse is unlikely to be a major factor in the finish.

Low career strike rateMany starts, limited successNeutral barrier (5)
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
4
7
Kakadu
Barrier 2 · 122kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER85:7-7
Jockey:Jordan Turner
Trainer:G J Bowen

Kakadu is a very well-travelled horse with a high number of starts but a very low win and place percentage. Despite drawing well, the overall career statistics suggest this horse will find it very tough to compete for a win against this calibre of opposition.

Very low career win %Many starts, few winsGood barrier (2) but limited impact
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
4
8
Royal Defense
Barrier 7 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER22:1-1
Jockey:Elisha Whittington
Trainer:Phillip Naylor

Royal Defense has the lowest career win and place percentage in the field, indicating a significant challenge to be competitive here. Drawing barrier 7 further complicates matters, making this horse a clear outsider with very little appeal.

Very poor career recordLow win and place %Unfavourable barrier (7)
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
2
Distance Form
2
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
2
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
2
Weight Handicap
3

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